With pride I announce the BeursWolf S&P 500 Major League – 2020 Edition. This is a Twitter contest that is meant to answer one question: which one of the top 64 largest stocks in the S&P 500 will outperform the rest over the next five years?
In this post you will find:
- What this contest is all about
- What you can expect in the future
- What stocks will take a part in the contest
- How the winner is selected
- Contest updates and progress
What is this contest all about?
The S&P 500 Major League is a Twitter contest. The contest will start with 64 stocks. In each round, you get to vote which stock you think will outperform the other stocks over the next five years. Eventually, one stock wins!
Which one of the top 64 largest stocks in the S&P 500 will outperform the rest over the next five years?The Stock Contest
When the winner is chosen, I will invest one thousand euros (€1,000) in this stock to start a ‘Hall of Fame’ portfolio. I will also write a deep dive analysis on this stock on the blog.
My goal is to make this an annual contest to eventually build a long-term stock portfolio that is completely constructed and voted for by you!
What can you expect in the future?
This portfolio will be built out later with other contests. Some ideas I currently have are:
- S&P 500 Little League: smallest 64 companies in the S&P 500
- EuroStoxx Champions League: largest 64 companies in Europe
- Nikkei Nippon Number One: largest 64 companies in the Nikkei 200
When you have ideas for other contest designs, please let them know in the comments!
My goal is to have around four contests per year, meaning the Hall of Fame portfolio can grow significantly in the long-term.
Already excited? Let’s dive deeper in the first edition of the S&P 500 Major League.
What stocks will take part in the contest?
The stocks taking part in this edition are the 64 largest stocks by market capitalization in the S&P 500. To select these stocks I used the top holdings list of the iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF ($IUSA) as per the 24th of September 2020.
The contest is more interesting when the match-ups for the schedule are random. That is why I used the randomizer function and order function in Microsoft Excel to mix up the order of these 64 stocks. The final list that forms the basis of the contest is:
|1||PM||PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC||Philip Morris|
|2||PG||PROCTER & GAMBLE||Procter & Gamble|
|4||LLY||ELI LILLY||Eli Lilly|
|9||WFC||WELLS FARGO||Wells Fargo|
|11||BRKB||BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC CLASS B||Berkshire Hathaway|
|13||DIS||WALT DISNEY||Walt Disney|
|15||JPM||JPMORGAN CHASE & CO||JP Morgan|
|16||TXN||TEXAS INSTRUMENT INC||Texas Instruments|
|17||JNJ||JOHNSON & JOHNSON||Johnson & Johnson|
|20||NEE||NEXTERA ENERGY INC||NextEra Energy|
|21||VZ||VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INC||Verizon|
|24||MA||MASTERCARD INC CLASS A||Mastercard|
|26||ACN||ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A||Accenture|
|28||INTC||INTEL CORPORATION CORP||Intel|
|31||HON||HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC||Honeywell|
|33||CSCO||CISCO SYSTEMS INC||Cisco|
|34||UPS||UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC CLASS B||UPS|
|35||UNP||UNION PACIFIC CORP||Union Pacific|
|36||UNH||UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC||United Health|
|37||TMO||THERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC INC||Thermo Fisher|
|39||XOM||EXXON MOBIL CORP||Exxon Mobil|
|43||V||VISA INC CLASS A||Visa|
|44||FB||FACEBOOK CLASS A INC|
|45||LOW||LOWES COMPANIES INC||Lowes|
|46||AMT||AMERICAN TOWER REIT CORP||American Tower|
|48||COST||COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP||Costco|
|49||BAC||BANK OF AMERICA CORP||Bank of America|
|50||GOOGL||ALPHABET INC CLASS A||Alphabet|
|51||NKE||NIKE INC CLASS B||Nike|
|52||AMZN||AMAZON COM INC||Amazon|
|54||LMT||LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP||Lockheed Martin|
|55||CMCSA||COMCAST CORP CLASS A||Comcast|
|57||FIS||FIDELITY NATIONAL INFORMATION SERV||Fidelity|
|58||HD||HOME DEPOT INC||Home Depot|
|59||CHTR||CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC CLASS A||Charter Communications|
|60||AMD||ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC||AMD|
|61||MRK||MERCK & CO INC||Merck|
|62||BMY||BRISTOL MYERS SQUIBB||Bristol Myers Squibb|
|63||IBM||INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CO||IBM|
|64||PYPL||PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC||PayPal|
How will the winner be selected?
All 64 stocks are put into a schedule. There is a round of 64, a quarter final, a semi final and a grande finale. The round of 64 and the quarter final are matches with four stocks. The semi final and the final are matches between two stocks. In total there are 23 matches to be played.
The winner of each match is selected through a Twitter poll ( Follow @BeursWolf ). Each poll will run 24 hours and starts at 07:00 Amsterdam time (01:00 in New York). The winner of each round will be announced in the evening of the following day. The schedule is:
- Round of 64: October 1st – October 16th
- Quarter Finals: October 19th – October 22nd
- Semi Finals: October 25th – October 26th
- Final: October 29th
During the contest, this specific post will be updated to show the progress!
The contest will be much more fun when more people engage, so you have until the 1st of October to spread the word.
Let the games begin!
The contest is fully prepared and ready to start October 1st. Sharing is caring!
ROUND OF 64
October 1st – Match 1
Vote Count: 56
- Philip Morris ($PM) – 12.5%
- Procter & Gamble ($PG) – 17.9%
- Nvidia ($NVDA) – 62.5%
- Eli Lilly ($LLY) – 7.1%
October 2nd – Match 2
Vote Count: 66
October 3rd – Match 3
Vote Count: 49
- Wells Fargo ($WFC) – 16.3%
- McDonald’s ($MCD) – 30.6%
- Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK-A) – 38.8%
- Amgen ($AMGN) – 14.3%
October 4th – Match 4
Vote Count: 65
October 5th – Match 5
Vote Count: 38
- Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) – 28.9%
- Walmart ($WMT) – 42.1%
- Coca Cola ($KO) – 5.3%
- NextEra Energy ($NEE) – 23.7%
October 6th – Match 6
Vote Count: 50
October 7th – Match 7
Vote Count: 62
October 8th – Match 8
Vote Count: 37
October 9th – Match 9
Vote Count: 31
October 10th – Match 10
Vote Count: 43
October 11th – Match 11
Vote Count: 83
October 12th – Match 12
Vote Count: 28
October 13th – Match 13
Vote Count: 30
October 14th – Match 14
Vote Count: 34
October 15th – Match 15
Vote Count: 18
- Fidelity ($FIS) – 0.0%
- Home Depot ($HD) – 16.7%
- Charter Communications ($CHTR) – 0.0%
- AMD ($AMD) – 83.3%
October 16th – Match 16
Vote Count: 21
October 19th – Match 17
Vote Count: 96
- Nvidia ($NVDA) – 30.2%
- Microsoft ($MSFT) – 46.9%
- Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK-A) – 10.4%
- Walt Disney ($DIS) – 12.5%
October 20th – Match 18
Vote Count: 38
October 21st – Match 19
Vote Count: 42
October 22nd – Match 20
Vote Count: 47
October 25th – Match 21
October 26th – Match 22
October 29th – Match 23
- Winner Match 21
- Winner Match 22