SP500 Major League – 2020 Edition

With pride I announce the BeursWolf S&P 500 Major League – 2020 Edition. This is a Twitter contest that is meant to answer one question: which one of the top 64 largest stocks in the S&P 500 will outperform the rest over the next five years?

In this post you will find:

  • What this contest is all about
  • What you can expect in the future
  • What stocks will take a part in the contest
  • How the winner is selected
  • Contest updates and progress

DISCLAIMER

THE INFORMATION ON THIS WEBSITE IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE AND DOES NOT RELATE TO YOUR PERSONAL FINANCIAL SITUATION, YOUR KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE, YOUR INVESTMENT PLANNING, INVESTMENT GOALS AND INVESTMENT HORIZON, AND YOUR RISK PROFILE AND RISK TOLERANCE. THEREFORE, WHEN MAKING FINANCIAL DECISIONS, PLEASE CONTACT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH. THIS BLOG IS FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY. YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR OWN INVESTMENT DECISIONS.

What is this contest all about?

The S&P 500 Major League is a Twitter contest. The contest will start with 64 stocks. In each round, you get to vote which stock you think will outperform the other stocks over the next five years. Eventually, one stock wins!

Which one of the top 64 largest stocks in the S&P 500 will outperform the rest over the next five years?

The Stock Contest

When the winner is chosen, I will invest one thousand euros (€1,000) in this stock to start a ‘Hall of Fame’ portfolio. I will also write a deep dive analysis on this stock on the blog.

My goal is to make this an annual contest to eventually build a long-term stock portfolio that is completely constructed and voted for by you!

What can you expect in the future?

This portfolio will be built out later with other contests. Some ideas I currently have are:

  • S&P 500 Little League: smallest 64 companies in the S&P 500
  • EuroStoxx Champions League: largest 64 companies in Europe
  • Nikkei Nippon Number One: largest 64 companies in the Nikkei 200

When you have ideas for other contest designs, please let them know in the comments!

My goal is to have around four contests per year, meaning the Hall of Fame portfolio can grow significantly in the long-term.

Already excited? Let’s dive deeper in the first edition of the S&P 500 Major League.

What stocks will take part in the contest?

The stocks taking part in this edition are the 64 largest stocks by market capitalization in the S&P 500. To select these stocks I used the top holdings list of the iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF ($IUSA) as per the 24th of September 2020.

To make sure Google does not get uneven odds, I filtered out the double position Google ($GOOG and $GOOGL) has in the list. The lucky company that just got into the contest this way is AMD ($AMD).

The contest is more interesting when the match-ups for the schedule are random. That is why I used the randomizer function and order function in Microsoft Excel to mix up the order of these 64 stocks. The final list that forms the basis of the contest is:

No.TickerCompanyContest Name
1PMPHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INCPhilip Morris
2PGPROCTER & GAMBLEProcter & Gamble
3NVDANVIDIA CORPNvidia
4LLYELI LILLYEli Lilly
5DHRDANAHER CORPDanaher
6MSFTMICROSOFT CORPMicrosoft
7NFLXNETFLIX INCNetflix
8ABTABBOTT LABORATORIESAbbott
9WFCWELLS FARGOWells Fargo
10MCDMCDONALDS CORPMcDonalds
11BRKBBERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC CLASS BBerkshire Hathaway
12AMGNAMGEN INCAmgen
13DISWALT DISNEYWalt Disney
14TAT&T INCAT&T
15JPMJPMORGAN CHASE & COJP Morgan
16TXNTEXAS INSTRUMENT INCTexas Instruments
17JNJJOHNSON & JOHNSONJohnson & Johnson
18WMTWALMART INCWalmart
19KOCOCA-COLACoca Cola
20NEENEXTERA ENERGY INCNextEra Energy
21VZVERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INCVerizon
22QCOMQUALCOMM INCQualcomm
23ORCLORACLE CORPOracle
24MAMASTERCARD INC CLASS AMastercard
25SBUXSTARBUCKS CORPStarbucks
26ACNACCENTURE PLC CLASS AAccenture
27AAPLAPPLE INCApple
28INTCINTEL CORPORATION CORPIntel
29CRMSALESFORCE.COM INCSalesforce
30PFEPFIZER INCPfizer
31HONHONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INCHoneywell
32CVXCHEVRON CORPChevron
33CSCOCISCO SYSTEMS INCCisco
34UPSUNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC CLASS BUPS
35UNPUNION PACIFIC CORPUnion Pacific
36UNHUNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCUnited Health
37TMOTHERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC INCThermo Fisher
38ADBEADOBE INCAdobe
39XOMEXXON MOBIL CORPExxon Mobil
40LINLINDE PLCLinde
41AVGOBROADCOM INCBroadcom
42PEPPEPSICO INCPepsiCo
43VVISA INC CLASS AVisa
44FBFACEBOOK CLASS A INCFacebook
45LOWLOWES COMPANIES INCLowes
46AMTAMERICAN TOWER REIT CORPAmerican Tower
47ABBVABBVIE INCAbbvie
48COSTCOSTCO WHOLESALE CORPCostco
49BACBANK OF AMERICA CORPBank of America
50GOOGLALPHABET INC CLASS AAlphabet
51NKENIKE INC CLASS BNike
52AMZNAMAZON COM INCAmazon
53MDTMEDTRONIC PLCMedtronic
54LMTLOCKHEED MARTIN CORPLockheed Martin
55CMCSACOMCAST CORP CLASS AComcast
56MMM3M3M
57FISFIDELITY NATIONAL INFORMATION SERVFidelity
58HDHOME DEPOT INCHome Depot
59CHTRCHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC CLASS ACharter Communications
60AMDADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INCAMD
61MRKMERCK & CO INCMerck
62BMYBRISTOL MYERS SQUIBBBristol Myers Squibb
63IBMINTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES COIBM
64PYPLPAYPAL HOLDINGS INCPayPal

How will the winner be selected?

All 64 stocks are put into a schedule. There is a round of 64, a quarter final, a semi final and a grande finale. The round of 64 and the quarter final are matches with four stocks. The semi final and the final are matches between two stocks. In total there are 23 matches to be played.

The winner of each match is selected through a Twitter poll ( Follow @BeursWolf ). Each poll will run 24 hours and starts at 07:00 Amsterdam time (01:00 in New York). The winner of each round will be announced in the evening of the following day. The schedule is:

  • Round of 64: October 1st – October 16th
  • Quarter Finals: October 19th – October 22nd
  • Semi Finals: October 25th – October 26th
  • Final: October 29th

During the contest, this specific post will be updated to show the progress!

The contest will be much more fun when more people engage, so you have until the 1st of October to spread the word.

Let the games begin!

Updates

The contest is fully prepared and ready to start October 1st. Sharing is caring!

ROUND OF 64

October 1st – Match 1
Vote Count: 56

  • Philip Morris ($PM) – 12.5%
  • Procter & Gamble ($PG) – 17.9%
  • Nvidia ($NVDA) – 62.5%
  • Eli Lilly ($LLY) – 7.1%

October 2nd – Match 2
Vote Count: 66

  • Danaher ($DHR) – 12.1%
  • Microsoft ($MSFT) – 72.7%
  • Netflix ($NFLX) – 6.1%
  • Abbott ($ABT) – 9.1%

October 3rd – Match 3
Vote Count: 49

  • Wells Fargo ($WFC) – 16.3%
  • McDonald’s ($MCD) – 30.6%
  • Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK-A) – 38.8%
  • Amgen ($AMGN) – 14.3%

October 4th – Match 4
Vote Count: 65

  • Walt Disney ($DIS) – 43.1%
  • AT&T ($T) – 18.5%
  • JP Morgan ($JPM) – 9.2%
  • Texas Instruments ($TXN) – 29.2%

October 5th – Match 5
Vote Count: 38

  • Johnson & Johnson ($JNJ) – 28.9%
  • Walmart ($WMT) – 42.1%
  • Coca Cola ($KO) – 5.3%
  • NextEra Energy ($NEE) – 23.7%

October 6th – Match 6
Vote Count: 50

  • Verizon ($VZ) – 8.0%
  • Qualcomm ($QCOM) – 42.0%
  • Oracle ($ORCL) – 10.0%
  • Mastercard ($MA) – 40.0%

October 7th – Match 7
Vote Count: 62

  • Starbucks ($SBUX) – 11.3%
  • Accenture ($ACN) – 6.5%
  • Apple ($AAPL) – 59.7%
  • Intel ($INTC) – 22.6%

October 8th – Match 8
Vote Count: 37

  • Salesforce ($CRM) – 62.2%
  • Pfizer ($PFE) – 21.6%
  • Honeywell ($HON) – 10.8%
  • Chevron ($CVX) – 5.4%

October 9th – Match 9
Vote Count: 31

  • Cisco ($CSCO) – 48.4%
  • UPS ($UPS) – 25.8%
  • Union Pacific ($UNP) – 9.7%
  • United Health ($UNH) – 16.1%

October 10th – Match 10
Vote Count: 43

  • Thermo Fisher ($TMO) – 9.3%
  • Adobe ($ADBE) – 53.5%
  • Exxon Mobil ($XOM) – 20.9%
  • Linde ($LIN) – 16.3%

October 11th – Match 11
Vote Count: 83

  • Broadcom ($AVGO) – 7.2%
  • PepsiCo ($PEP) – 12.0%
  • Visa ($V) – 50.6%
  • Facebook ($FB) – 30.1%

October 12th – Match 12
Vote Count: 28

  • Lowe’s ($LOW) – 3.6%
  • American Tower ($AMT) – 14.3%
  • Abbvie ($ABBV) – 60.7%
  • Costco ($COST) – 21.4%

October 13th – Match 13
Vote Count: 30

  • Bank of America ($BAC) – 0.0%
  • Alphabet ($GOOGL) – 40.0%
  • Nike ($NKE) – 0.0%
  • Amazon ($AMZN) – 60.0%

October 14th – Match 14
Vote Count: 34

  • Medtronic ($MDT) – 20.6%
  • Lockheed Martin ($LMT) – 26.5%
  • Comcast ($CMCSA) – 0.0%
  • 3M ($MMM) – 52.9%

October 15th – Match 15
Vote Count: 18

  • Fidelity ($FIS) – 0.0%
  • Home Depot ($HD) – 16.7%
  • Charter Communications ($CHTR) – 0.0%
  • AMD ($AMD) – 83.3%

October 16th – Match 16
Vote Count: 21

  • Merck ($MRK) – 19.0%
  • Bristol Myers Squibb ($BMY) – 4.8%
  • IBM ($IBM) – 9.5%
  • PayPal ($PYPL) – 66.7%

QUARTER FINALS

October 19th – Match 17
Vote Count: 96

  • Nvidia ($NVDA) – 30.2%
  • Microsoft ($MSFT) – 46.9%
  • Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK-A) – 10.4%
  • Walt Disney ($DIS) – 12.5%

October 20th – Match 18
Vote Count: 38

  • Walmart ($WMT) – 13.2%
  • Qualcomm ($QCOM) – 21.1%
  • Apple ($AAPL) – 47.4%
  • Salesforce ($CRM) – 18.4%

October 21st – Match 19
Vote Count: 42

  • Cisco ($CSCO) – 16.7%
  • Adobe ($ADBE) – 21.4%
  • Visa ($V) – 38.1%
  • Abbvie ($ABBV) – 23.8%

October 22nd – Match 20
Vote Count: 47

SEMI FINALS

October 25th – Match 21

October 26th – Match 22

GRANDE FINALE

October 29th – Match 23

  • Winner Match 21
  • Winner Match 22

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